IranLive

Will the US and Iran resume direct negotiations before October 1, 2026?

50%chance of Yes0.050¢ last

24h volume: $0
Total volume: $0
Liquidity: $924
Open interest: $0
Traders: 0
Closes: closed

Yes · price history

50¢Past month

$0 Vol.

YesPriceSharesTotal

55¢600$538
Asks52¢400$208

Last: 50¢Spread: 4¢

Bids48¢400$192
45¢600$462

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About this market

After the Versailles 60-day deadline lapsed on August 17, President Trump said on August 18 that no talks with Iran are underway or scheduled, and has demanded compensation as a precondition. Tehran has floated a six-month extension while back-channel contacts run through Oman.

iran us diplomacy geopolitics

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Amount (USD)

Price per share: 50¢
Est. shares: 100
Potential payout: $100.00
Potential profit: +$50.00
Fees: shown on fill

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Resolution

Resolves YES if official representatives of the United States and Iran meet for direct, publicly acknowledged negotiations (any venue, any format, including a resumed Islamabad-style round) on or before September 30, 2026, as confirmed by at least two of: Reuters, AP, AFP, or official statements from either government. Mediated message-passing without a direct meeting does not count.

Source: Reuters, AP, AFP wire reporting; U.S. State Department and Iranian Foreign Ministry statements
Closes: Sep 30, 2026
Created: Aug 26, 2026

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