IranLive

Will Mojtaba Khamenei make a verified public appearance before November 1, 2026?

50%chance of Yes0.050¢ last

24h volume: $0
Total volume: $0
Liquidity: $924
Open interest: $0
Traders: 0
Closes: in 8 days

Yes · price history

50¢Past month

$0 Vol.

YesPriceSharesTotal

55¢600$538
Asks52¢400$208

Last: 50¢Spread: 4¢

Bids48¢400$192
45¢600$462

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About this market

Mojtaba Khamenei has not been seen in public since becoming Supreme Leader after his father was killed in a February 2026 strike, even as he reshapes Iran's military command. His absence fuels speculation about his security situation and grip on power.

iran khamenei leadership geopolitics

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Amount (USD)

Price per share: 50¢
Est. shares: 100
Potential payout: $100.00
Potential profit: +$50.00
Fees: shown on fill

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Resolution

Resolves YES if Mojtaba Khamenei appears in public — a live event, sermon, troop visit, or meeting with verifiable independent attendees — on or before October 31, 2026 (23:59 UTC), with imagery or footage authenticated and reported by at least two of: Reuters, AP, AFP, or BBC. Undated archive footage or audio-only messages do not count.

Source: Reuters, AP, AFP, BBC verification reporting on Iranian state media releases
Closes: Oct 31, 2026
Created: Aug 26, 2026

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