Will Bitcoin drop below $80,000 before October?

I was on the other side of this a month ago, flipped after the last data release. The trend is pretty clear now.

The base rate here is being ignored. Similar setups resolved YES less than a third of the time over the past decade.

Sized this small because tail risk cuts both ways, but the asymmetry looks decent at this price.

Feels fairly priced honestly. The edge was at 20¢, not here. Waiting for a pullback to add.

Anyone else notice the spread tightening? MM activity usually front-runs a catalyst.

Volume picking up fast since yesterday's news. Order book is thin on the ask side — wouldn't be surprised to see this gap up.