Yes · price history
| Trader | Action | Price | Shares | Total | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @jmercer | Buy Yes | 74¢ | 250 | $185.00 |
The base rate here is being ignored. Similar setups resolved YES less than a third of the time over the past decade.
Anyone else notice the spread tightening? MM activity usually front-runs a catalyst.
Feels fairly priced honestly. The edge was at 20¢, not here. Waiting for a pullback to add.
I was on the other side of this a month ago, flipped after the last data release. The trend is pretty clear now.
Volume picking up fast since yesterday's news. Order book is thin on the ask side — wouldn't be surprised to see this gap up.