EconomyTrendingLive
Will the Fed cut rates at the September FOMC meeting?
76%chance of Yes0.076¢ last
- 24h volume
- $0
- Total volume
- $28.4M
- Liquidity
- $1.5K
- Open interest
- $850
- Traders
- 2
- Closes
- closed
Yes · price history
76¢Past month
$28.4M Vol.
YesPriceSharesTotal
- 79¢589$1.4K
- 78¢670$983.8
- Asks77¢599$461.2
Last: 76¢Spread: 2¢
- Bids75¢557$417.8
- 74¢406$718.2
- 73¢513$1.1K
| Trader | Action | Price | Shares | Total | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @jmercer | Buy Yes | 58¢ | 850 | $493.00 |
About this market
The Federal Open Market Committee meets September 16–17, 2026. Futures markets have priced in growing odds of a 25bp cut following two soft CPI prints and cooling payroll data. Chair guidance at Jackson Hole is expected to be the next major catalyst.
Discussion6
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Sized this small because tail risk cuts both ways, but the asymmetry looks decent at this price.
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The base rate here is being ignored. Similar setups resolved YES less than a third of the time over the past decade.
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Feels fairly priced honestly. The edge was at 20¢, not here. Waiting for a pullback to add.
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Volume picking up fast since yesterday's news. Order book is thin on the ask side — wouldn't be surprised to see this gap up.
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Market is overreacting to headlines again. Fundamentals haven't changed since last week.
