PoliticsTrendingLive
Will Democrats win control of the House in the 2026 midterms?
59%chance of Yes0.059¢ last
- 24h volume
- $0
- Total volume
- $36.8M
- Liquidity
- $1.2K
- Open interest
- $697
- Traders
- 4
- Closes
- in 11 days
Yes · price history
59¢Past month
$36.8M Vol.
YesPriceSharesTotal
- 61¢659$965.3
- 60¢461$563.3
- Asks59¢486$286.7
Last: 59¢Spread: 2¢
- Bids57¢365$208.1
- 56¢376$418.6
- 55¢314$591.3
| Trader | Action | Price | Shares | Total | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @robinjosephkurian98 | Buy Yes | 59¢ | 88 | $51.92 | |
| @robinjoseph11998 | Sell Yes | 57¢ | 2 | $1.14 | |
| @robinjoseph11998 | Buy Yes | 59¢ | 9 | $5.31 | |
| @jmercer | Buy Yes | 55¢ | 600 | $330.00 |
About this market
All 435 House seats are up for election on November 3, 2026. Generic-ballot polling has narrowed over the summer, with forecasters split on whether the historical midterm penalty for the president's party holds.
Discussion4
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I was on the other side of this a month ago, flipped after the last data release. The trend is pretty clear now.
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Market is overreacting to headlines again. Fundamentals haven't changed since last week.
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The base rate here is being ignored. Similar setups resolved YES less than a third of the time over the past decade.
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Anyone else notice the spread tightening? MM activity usually front-runs a catalyst.
