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Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 US Open?
39%chance of Yes0.039¢ last
- 24h volume
- $0
- Total volume
- $3.9M
- Liquidity
- $1.9K
- Open interest
- $0
- Traders
- 0
- Closes
- closed
Yes · price history
39¢Past month
$3.9M Vol.
YesPriceSharesTotal
- 41¢789$859.9
- 40¢640$536.4
- Asks39¢719$280.4
Last: 39¢Spread: 2¢
- Bids37¢493$182.4
- 36¢478$354.5
- 35¢646$580.6
No trades yet
Recent fills will stream in here as the market trades.
About this market
Discussion5
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Sized this small because tail risk cuts both ways, but the asymmetry looks decent at this price.
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Market is overreacting to headlines again. Fundamentals haven't changed since last week.
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I was on the other side of this a month ago, flipped after the last data release. The trend is pretty clear now.
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The base rate here is being ignored. Similar setups resolved YES less than a third of the time over the past decade.
